Carlos Carvalhal is undoubtedly doing a fantastic job at Swansea City and there’s been strong rumours claiming the club are willing to offer him a new long-term deal to stay at the Liberty Stadium beyond the summer, when his current contract expires.

However, with the mess behind the scenes (yes, there’s still a problematic mess) and Carvalhal’s reputation of failing to last very long in any of his previous jobs suggests that perhaps there’s more than meets the eye.

Who knows, if he goes there will be trouble – and if he stays there will be double? (sorry, it was there and I had to take it!)

Carvalhal has had 17 managerial stints in 20 years, his longest tenure being with Sheffield Wednesday which lasted two years. Is it quite worrisome that he struggles to hold down a consistent job? Would it be quite naive for us to hand him a long-term deal considering our last long-term managerial contracts were all paid off very early after Francesco Guidolin, Bob Bradley and Paul Clement’s sackings. Probably.

This is just something the club has to be wary of before making a big decision and it backfiring, which has happened a lot over the last few years and has cost us millions. It’s understandable for us fans to be sceptical as Clement was the best thing since sliced bread this time last year, but look how that turned out.

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But…but… Carvalhal is brilliant.

He’s done a tremendous job since joining just after Christmas with the Swans rock bottom and poised for relegation. The club are now 14th. Nowhere near ‘comfortable’, but there’s been a magnificent improvement in all areas of the pitch and the Portuguese has also brought back the feel-good factor around the Liberty – something that could be considered as important as on-the-field performances with the fans undoubtedly proving to be the 12th man in recent months.

If Carvalhal keeps us up, can you really not let him stay on? He would definitely deserve to stay put in South Wales if Swansea remain in the top-flight, considering the dire state we were in in December. Whether or not Carlos has been a benefactor from the ‘new manager bounce’ that has become all too familiar at the Liberty and the Premier League in general, you can’t really tell.

But it’s the word stability that gets thrown around Swansea City these days, it’s something all the fans want after a tumultuous past two years. Could the former Besiktas man really provide stability… his track record would suggest not, but how can you tell? It’d be risky to keep him on; it’d be risky to dismiss him. That’s football these days.

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If we looked elsewhere for a new manager in the summer, there’d be more question marks, with another man trying to get his ideas across, adapting and even if it was Pep Guardiola, he wouldn’t be guaranteed success, with the board failing to back any manager adequately for some time. If we get another manager in the summer, are we then quietly adopting the Watford model? Going through (some very decent) managers, consistently bringing in new bosses to keep things fresh and continually feeding on the ‘new manager bounce’.

So should we keep Carvalhal on? To answer the question is hard. There’s many variables and things can change so quickly in football. But if he keeps the Swans in the Premier League, I’d happily hand him a one-year deal and go from there. Can you really not give the man the job just by predicting that things will go wrong? Not for me.

I really like Carlos and it seems like he really likes Swansea City. He needs to continue putting 100% effort into the cause, getting the best out of the players and he will always be held in high regard whatever happens.

Best case scenario: we stay up, Carvalhal stays and stabilizes the ship, we have a productive transfer window and enjoy a nice stress-free campaign next season in the top-flight. When it comes to Swansea City it’s never that simple though.